NEWS - Novel Early flood Warning and Risk Assessment System – a next generation expert system for flood warning and risk analysis
Flooding is a wide spread and devastating natural disaster across the globe. Floods that took place in the last decade in China were ranked the worst among recorded floods worldwide in terms of the number of human fatalities and economic losses (Munich Re-Insurance). Current conventional flood prediction systems are neither suited to current climate variability nor to rapid urbanization sweeping the planet especially in emerging markets. The entire spectrum of flood prediction from short-term (a few hours), medium-term (a few days) to long-term (a number of years) needs to be revisited and adapted to changing socio-economic and hydro-climatic conditions. Latest technology for flood forecasting requires implementation of multiple numerical weather/climate prediction systems. A Novel Flood Early Warning System will be tested and put in a pre-operational mode in a selected catchment in China. It is expected to be the first ‘dynamic multipurpose early flood warning software system’ that uses the massive TIGGE database cascaded with river catchment models to produce river flow rate, inundation water depth, inundation water extent, flood risk maps, risk uncertainty analysis.
All components will be available as modules packaged in a fully coupled and user friendly expert system software to be known as “Novel Early Flood Warning and Risk Assessment System”, in short NEWS.
Presentation on the Development of web-based services for a novel ensemble flood forecasting and risk assessment system at the American Geophysical Union's (AGU) Fall Meeting, 14 - 18 Dec. 2009 in San Francisco [PDF]